Published today in Nature Human Behaviour, the study examined the link between 414 early-life diseases and lifetime childlessness in over 2.5 million individuals born in Finland and Sweden.
In many Western European and East Asian countries, up to 15-20% of individuals born around 1970 are now childless. Although multiple social, economic and individual preferences have been studied, there has been limited research examining the contribution of different diseases to being childless over a lifetime, particularly those diseases with onset prior to the peak reproductive age.
Using nationwide registers, the researchers analysed information on 414 early-life disease diagnoses for 1.4 million women born between 1956-1973 and 1.1 million men born between 1956-1968. All were alive at the age of 16, did not emigrate, and had mostly finished their reproductive years by the end of 2018 (defined as age 45 for women, and age 50 for men).
The study was led by Andrea Ganna from University of Helsinki’s Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland (FIMM) and Melinda Mills, Director of Oxford Population Health’s Demographic Science Unit and the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science. View University of Oxford’s press release here.
"Various factors are driving an increase in childlessness worldwide, with postponed parenthood being a significant contributor that potentially heightens the risk of involuntary childlessness. Our study is the first to systematically explore how multiple early-life diseases relate to lifetime childlessness and low parity in both men and women", said the lead author of the study, Postdoctoral researcher Aoxing Liu from FIMM.
The study’s main analyses focused on 71,524 full-sister and 77,622 full-brother pairs who exhibited differences in their childlessness status. Interestingly, the association between disease and childlessness was more alike between childless individuals and their siblings who had only one child, in comparison to those with more children.
Substantial age and gender differences were observed
Out of the 74 diseases significantly associated with childlessness in at least one sex, including the 33 shared among women and men, more than half of these were mental-behavioural disorders. In addition, several novel associations between disease and childlessness were discovered such as autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. A full list of the results can be found on this interactive dashboard.
‘A quarter of the 1.1 million men studied were childless compared to 16.6% of the 1.4 million women. Individuals with lower educational attainment in Finland and Sweden were more likely to be childless compared to the general population, and an individual's childless status was notably linked to their parents' level of education.
The researchers also observed significant gender differences in the relationships between diseases and childlessness. For example, schizophrenia and acute alcohol intoxication exhibited stronger associations with childlessness in men, while diabetes-related diseases and congenital anomalies showed stronger associations among women.
Sex differences were noticeable in the age of disease onset, with stronger associations earlier on for women diagnosed between the ages of 21-25, and later for men diagnosed at the age of 26-30. For instance, women diagnosed with obesity experienced higher levels of childlessness if they received their initial diagnosis between the ages of 16-20, compared to those diagnosed at a later age.
Need for improved public health interventions
The study also revealed that the absence of a partner played a substantial role in the connection between diseases and childlessness, accounting for an estimated 29.3% in women and 37.9% in men. Childless individuals were twice as likely to be single, whilst six diseases in women and 11 in men remained associated with childlessness among partnered individuals.
“This study reveals a connection between early-life diseases and childlessness, influencing both single and partnered women and men differently. By assessing the role of multiple early-life diseases on childlessness for 2.5 million people across Finland and Sweden, this study paves the way for a better understanding of how disease contributes to involuntary childlessness and the need for improved public health interventions”, senior author of the study, Associate Professor and FIMM-EMBL group leader Andrea Ganna concluded.
“As well as reinforcing demographic research on assortative mating and other socioeconomic factors linked to childlessness, this paper underscores the necessity for interdisciplinary research and enhanced public health emphasis on addressing early-life diseases among both men and women in relation to childlessness”, said Professor Melinda Mills, senior author and Director of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science at Oxford Population Health.