Conference e-mail

The Aleksanteri Institute

Unioninkatu 33 (P.O. Box 42)
00014 University of Helsinki

Past Aleksanteri Conferences

Svetlana Mareeva (National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia)

Desired and Expected Future in Perception of Russians

Perceptions about the desired and most probable (expected) future of the country, formed in the public consciousness, can have a significant impact on the vector of its development, since for the success of social and economic transformations they must be accepted and supported by the population at the micro level. Data of the all-Russian representative monitoring survey carried by IS RAS in 2014-2016 allows to analyze ​​what kind of future Russians would like to see for the country and how they assess the realism of its implementation. The data lead to the conclusion that at the moment the images of the probable and desired future in the public consciousness coincide only partially: while the expectations of the real future of Russia on the international arena are more in line with the population's ideas about the desired position in this sphere, the socio-economic model of Russian society in populations’ images of an expected and desirable future is quite different. Vector of development of Russian society, which fixes the privileged position of the initially most advantaged strata and closes social lifts for other groups, does not correspond to the public demand for the desired model of society in the future. Accordingly, the population does not believe in the realization of the ideal of a fair society in practice, because it does not see any positive changes in this sphere (primarily form the state that should establishes reasonable and legitimate "rules of the game"). Current situation does not correspond to the notions of social justice existing in the public consciousness, and the demand for a fair society becomes increasingly important for the population of the country.